Weekend Box Office 10/20

[Order66]

YTD: 11-8
Units: +3.6

Play:

The Prestige over 14 million (-110) <3.3/3> WSEX

Best play in a long time!

Good luck all!

 

[3DGlasses]

Good Luck on that one.

Regarding the movie FLICKA... Box Office Report and Box Office Guru have it making 10 million...

10.5 million or more +210 at Intertops looks good. Some other good prices there as well.

 

[Order66]

In my opinion Flicka looks to be a dud, but it is getting a wide screen count and decent reviews, so that may pull in the family audience. However, I would definitely play it under if I had to choose, but seeing as how I don't, it is a no play.

 

[3DGlasses]

Unless you're under 14 years old it should look like a dud. It totally reminds me of DREAMER which would have pulled in 13 million with the same count.

Horse movies are very popular with the kids. Anyhow, I like the price +210

 

[Order66]

Flicka definitely has some value at +210, I'll give ya that. No play for me, but if you played it good luck and I hope it is a winner!

 

[HPark1]

On this one hard also, getting solid reviews, good buzz, and has decent star power. It should be able to get at least 16 million imo.

About 6 million tonight should secure it with the good WOM its sure to get.

*Early crowd reports look promising.

GL2us

 

[Presto]

Glad to see you are on the over. Let's cash this ticket.

gl Order

 

[BetIt]

anything from Friday?

 

[HPark1]

I saw a unofficial 5.1. I'm screwed with 14.5, 14 is still possible but not looking good.

And for the Flicka bettors it did 2.5.

 

[whormoan]

Where can I check out these #'s?

 

[HPark1]

http://talk.hsx.com/films/index.htm?2006.10.21.02.45

Is the board where I saw the unofficial numbers, check post top 10.

Check http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/ for the officials.


Anyways a bit new to movie betting so I think I may have underestimated its possible opening weekend gross. A three internal multiplier may not be unrealistic. So disregard my doom and gloom comment above.

 

[whormoan]

http://talk.hsx.com/films/index.htm?2006.10.21.02.45

Is the board where I saw the unofficial numbers, check post top 10.

Check http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/ for the officials.


Anyways a bit new to movie betting so I think I may have underestimated its possible opening weekend gross. A three internal multiplier may not be unrealistic. So disregard my doom and gloom comment above.

Thanks. Usually Sat is about 1.2-1.5 times Friday with Sun about .75 or .8

 

[BetIt]

well judging by those estimates...we're in pretty good shape then

 

[BetIt]

Daily Top 10

No Title Distributor Sites Daily Gross Avg Change Total Gross

Please note, that ShowBIZ Data is the first to publish daily box office grosses every day.

1. PRESTIGE, THE NEW LINE 2,281 5,121,000 2,245 n/a 5,121,000
2. DEPARTED, THE WARNER BROS. 3,005 4,234,000 1,409 -26% 67,696,000
3. FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS PARAMOUNT 1,876 3,512,000 1,872 n/a 3,512,000
4. GRUDGE 2, THE SONY 3,214 2,678,000 833 -72% 26,344,000
5. FLICKA 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,877 2,527,000 878 n/a 2,527,000
6. MAN OF THE YEAR UNIVERSAL 2,522 2,175,000 862 -46% 17,649,000
7. OPEN SEASON SONY 3,379 2,101,000 622 -23% 63,725,000
8. MARIE ANTOINETTE SONY 859 1,891,000 2,201 n/a 1,891,000
9. NIGHTMARE BEFORE CHRISTMAS MIRAMAX 168 1,220,000 7,262 n/a 51,599,629
10. TEXAS CHAINSAW MASSACRE: THE BEGINNING NEW LINE 2,569 1,155,000 450 -59% 33,312,000

 

[whormoan]

Where do you guys see these 3 ending up for the weekend: Flicka, Flags, Prestige?

 

[BetIt]

Judging by the and the 1.2 and .75 for the next two days here is what we're looking at

Friday: 5.121
Saturday: 6.145 (using conservating 1.2)
Sunday: 3.84075

Total of 15.1 for the weekend.

 

[HPark1]

according to the few opinions I've seen on movie boards it look like Prestige will be just over 15 million, Flags 11-12 million and Flicka around 7-8 million.

 

[Order66]

The Prestige - 14-16 million (15.5 most likely)
Flags of our Fathers - 10-12 million (closer to 12)
Flicka - 7-8.5 million (8 most likely)

 

[BetIt]

taken from http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.c...day-magician-movie-the-prestige-appears-in-1/


Instead, that #1 title went to Warner Bros / Touchstone's The Prestige, which earned $5 mil from 2,281 theaters on Friday for what should be a $15.5 mil weekend.

 

[HPark1]

Well after Saturday Prestige standing at just under 11 million. Seems like it slightly underperformed yesterday. 14 still looking great.

Departed actually topped out on the day. Others...

Flicka at 5.6 mill
Flags at 7.5 mill